Steel Stocks Warn Of Recession To Micro-Cap Biotech Investors
Captivated by the allure of Keryx ( KERX ), I raise this question: Why would a micro-cap biotech investor like me look to the steel stocks? Simple, for the same reason investors look at Apple ( AAPL ) and Google ( GOOG ) to gauge the market's direction. I'm looking at U.S. Steel ( X ), AK Steel ( AKS ), and Nucor ( NUE ) to clue me in on where the market is heading.
Sidebar: Apple has been treading water not just because Steve Jobs is stepping aside, but because the global picture is ugly; after closing at $403.41/share on 26 July 2011, Apple has twice bottomed to a close of $353.21/share on 8 August 2011 and $356.03/share on 19 August 2011. Likewise, Google has been losing altitude from a $622.52 close on 26 July 2011, then dipping to $490.92 on 19 August 2011. Rabbit trail: For the sickening fun of it, Goldman Sacs ( GS ) fell to $106.51/share close on 22 August 2011 from $175/share on 14 January 2011. Throw in Bank of America ( BAC ) that closed on the same 14 January 2011 at $15.25/share, but closed on Friday, 2 September 2011 at $7.25/share despite the Warren Buffett bail-out. And forgive me, but Jim Cramer's favorite Citibank ( C ) after raping investors in a reverse-stock split recently fell to $26.06/share close on 22 August 2011. If you ask me, the financial sector looks like the proverbial frog sitting in a pot of water with the flame underneath turned up on high.And what about U.S. Steel, AK Steel, and Nucor? They are starting to look like junk yard dogs. And yes, I'm concerned when the fall-out will hit micro-cap biotech stocks. Steel stocks are the infrastructure of America's roads, buildings, and bridges. If these backbone stocks of America's economy take a beating, it won't be long until micro-cap biotechs get pounded.
Before the 2008 market collapse, U.S. Steel closed at $191.96/share on 25 June 2008; Nucor closed at $82.07/share on 16 May 2008; AK Steel closed at $72.89 on 20 May 2008. But trouble was coming. By 16 March 2009, U.S. Steel closed at $16.88/share; on 20 November 2008, Nucor closed at $25.52/share; AK Steel closed at $5.45 on 2 March 2009. While since that time, all three steel stocks recovered to some degree from their lows, it's unnerving if you consider how hard they all fell on 22 August 2011: U.S. Steel fell to $25.58/share; Nucor fell to $31.48; AK Steel fell to $7.70/share. What am I suggesting? Simple, these steel stocks exemplify how anemic the U.S. economy is, and I think are representative of the early frost of a wintry recession. Which then means for micro-cap biotech investors that new lows could reappear since the market first dipped in the autumn of 2008, and later in March 2009.
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Captivated by the allure of Keryx (KERX), I raise this question: Why would a micro-cap biotech investor like me look to the steel stocks? Simple, for the same reason investors look at Apple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG) to gauge the market's direction.

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